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Fed Cuts Rates for First Time in 9 Months as Powell Warns: “No Risk-Free Paths Now”

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4% to 4.25% on September 17, citing downside risks to employment and a softening labor market. Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed is “taking another step toward a more neutral policy stance,” and emphasized the committee’s commitment to maximum employment and price stability.

The Summary of Economic Projections now sees GDP rising 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026. Payroll growth has slowed “to a pace of just 29,000 per month,” while core inflation remains above target. “Inflation has eased significantly from its highs in mid-2022, but remains somewhat elevated.”

“We judged it appropriate at this meeting to take another step toward a more neutral policy stance,” Powell said. “The risks were clearly tilted toward inflation, I would say they’re moving toward equality,” adding that the ” labor market is softening and we don’t need it to soften anymore. Don’t want it to.”
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